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Thursday, 20 October 2011

How to Remember Names and Faces

Alamy (2)

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One of the hardest things about remembering people is that you only get to meet them once before you’re expected to recall their names. You can solve this problem with repetition. Focus on one or two obvious features—details about their personality or appearance or the way they talk—and say them to yourself as a sentence. For example, “Tyler has a goatee and firm handshake.” A moment or two after you’ve met, recall Tyler’s face and imagine him saying, “Hi, I’m Tyler.” The more you repeat it in your mind, the longer it will stay there. And just recalling the fact that you’ve chosen to remember one or two features from each person you meet will help bring those features to mind.

A lot of people swear by mnemonic systems, where you use the first letter of someone’s name—Slothful Stephanie, Happy Harry. My feeling is that systems like these take too much time, unless you’re dealing with a small group and you really need to get their names down cold. At a trade show or conference, where you’re meeting dozens of people over the course of a day, mnemonics make your mind into a jumble. It’s too hard to keep making up adjectives for people you don’t really know.

There are times when you’ll want to use your imagination to help remember someone’s name, especially when you can tap into the associations your mind makes when you see that person. Say you meet someone named Katherine, who looks a bit like Britney Spears. Next, try visualizing Katherine singing and dancing. When you meet Katherine again, travel back to this memory you’ve created. All the colorful details that you’ve imagined around her will help you fill in the empty spot—her name.

Khan came in first in the Names and Faces event of the 2011 USA Memory Championship.


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Tuesday, 18 October 2011

Transocean: No Apologies Over Gulf Oil Spill

A Transocean drilling vessel and platform used in the Gulf spill containment effort

A Transocean drilling vessel and platform used in the Gulf spill containment effort Jim Wilson/The New York Times/Redux

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Fourteen months after the Deepwater Horizon drilling rig exploded 50 miles southeast of Venice, La., killing 11 men and setting off the largest offshore oil spill in U.S. history, Transocean, the company that owned and ran the ill-fated 32,600-ton vessel, finally issued its official account of what happened and why. It produced a report on June 22 of no fewer than 854 pages, divided into two volumes, and spared no detail. The bottom line, though, isn’t complicated:It was BP’s fault.

That Transocean would try to deflect blame isn’t surprising. The Swiss-incorporated, Houston-based drilling contractor is caught in a litigation frenzy involving British Petroleum; Halliburton, which did cement work; and several other companies, including Anadarko Petroleum, one of the minority stakeholders in the well, and Cameron International, manufacturer of a critical piece of safety equipment known as the blowout preventer. They are wrestling over who will get stuck with tens of billions of dollars in environmental and economic damage claims related to the blowout of BP’s Macondo well on Apr. 20, 2010.

Since then, Transocean has refused to acknowledge committing any mistakes that may have contributed to the disaster. It has declined to help pay for the cleanup. It has made no apologies. And what is remarkable is that this blame-the-client, admit-no-wrong, take-no-prisoners approach appears to be working.

Of 126 people aboard the Deepwater Horizon when it exploded, 79 worked for Transocean (versus only six for BP). Nine of the 11 fatalities were Transocean men. Transocean has settled with several families of those lost in the disaster, for undisclosed amounts, and has said in Securities and Exchange Commission filings that its costs related to the blowout totaled $160 million through Mar. 31, 2011. Yet it hasn’t put a single dime into the $20 billion victims-compensation fund BP established, a fund that is close to finalizing settlements with 17 former Transocean employees, according to Anthony G. Buzbee, a Houston plaintiffs’ attorney representing the workers. Overall, BP has spent $17.7 billion related to the spill as of the end of 2010—more than 100 times as much as Transocean, which last year, according to the U.S. Justice Dept., “actually booked a $270 million ‘accounting gain’ on the difference between the real value of the Deepwater Horizon and the amount it received in hull insurance following the vessel’s sinking.”

Transocean’s shrewd, defiant response strategy began almost from the moment the crew lost control of the well. Within 12 hours of receiving medical attention after the calamity, surviving Transocean employees were transported to a hotel in New Orleans, where they were questioned by company lawyers seeking to exonerate the drilling contractor, according to Buzbee and other plaintiffs’ attorneys. In subsequent months, even as BP pledged to “make it right” and raise billions for its relief fund, Transocean worked behind the scenes to minimize liability and convince investors everything was just fine.

In May 2010 it filed papers in federal court in Houston seeking to use a 169-year-old maritime statute to cap the company’s liability for deaths and injuries at less than $27 million. (The owners of the Titanic invoked the same law to notable success.) Then, shortly after trying to minimize its payments to widows and survivors, Transocean announced plans to issue $1 billion in dividends to its shareholders. It further declared in its annual report that despite the death and destruction in the Gulf, 2010 had been “the best year in safety performance in our company’s history.” It even handed out safety bonuses to top executives.“You almost have to admire their chutzpah—almost,” Steven Gordon, a plaintiffs’ lawyer in Houston, says of Transocean. Gordon represents eight former Transocean employees who survived the disaster and are suing the company and BP.


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Friday, 7 October 2011

A Tiny Alaska Village Stares Down Big Oil

Alaska Stock/Alamy

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This summer, four-year-old Micah Kinneeveauk helped catch and kill his first seal. His proud grandmother plans to reward him with a special dessert at Thanksgiving: A big bowl of ice cream flavored with caribou meat and fat. Hunting seals and whales in the Chukchi Sea and caribou and polar bears on the tundra has provided food, clothing, and rites of passage for centuries in tiny Point Hope, Alaska, a barren gravel village of 800 Inupiat natives located 125 miles north of the Arctic Circle. Many of the people live largely on what they catch.

That’s why Micah’s grandmother, Caroline Cannon, sees trouble in Royal Dutch Shell’s plans to drill for oil in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas. In the long shadow of the Exxon Valdez and BP disasters, she’s unconvinced by Shell’s assurances that it has helicopters, robots, divers, and skimmers available to respond if it loses control of a well, along with a cap-and-containment system similar to the one that ultimately plugged the BP gusher. “There is no technology to clean up an oil spill, and it’s devastating if it happens,” says Cannon, who serves as the village president. “I have 25 grandchildren. That’s why I oppose offshore drilling 2,500 percent—I want them to have a chance to have the same kind of subsistence life I have.”

Many of Cannon’s fellow villagers feel the same way, and the town has been remarkably effective at delaying the company’s plans to begin work in the region. Point Hope successfully challenged government-issued permits for emissions from the rigs, preventing Shell from drilling this summer. It also sued to challenge the government’s lease sale, convincing a court that more public comment and environmental studies were needed. Although Shell won its first lease to extract oil from beneath U.S. Arctic waters in 2005, it has yet to drill a single well, despite spending what it says is almost $4 billion on leases, research, engineering, lawsuits, and government-ordered studies.

Part of Shell’s problem is that it doesn’t have much to offer the villagers to help win them over. The company predicts that development of the offshore fields would create 35,000 jobs a year in the state and bring $4 billion to local governments by 2057. Shell says Point Hope would get its share of the wealth. “We are committed to providing the village … with the same opportunities for jobs and shared services as other villages,” says spokesman Curtis Smith.

Many of the residents of Point Hope say they aren’t interested. The ramshackle village has a grocery store, a Chinese takeout, and not much else. They don’t want Shell coming in and building up the place. They aren’t expecting to be offered jobs on the rigs. They don’t want money. Mostly, the people say, they want to be left alone. “No matter how much money you’ve got, that money goes,” says Ronald Oviok, who says he has caught more than a dozen whales in his 69 years. “I’ve got no money. I don’t really care for money.”

Point Hope is exploring further legal challenges but likely can’t keep Shell from drilling forever. This week the EPA issued revised emissions permits, and in August Michael Bromwich, the chief U.S. offshore oil regulator, approved the company’s plans to explore in the Beaufort Sea provided it also wins permits from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and the National Marine Fisheries Service, which are under review. A U.S. decision on the Chukchi Sea is still pending. “We are accustomed to making decisions that may not make everybody happy,” Bromwich said after meetings with native leaders and Shell executives in Alaska this month. “We have to make decisions based on the best information we have available and the appropriate balance.”

The eventual payoff for Shell will be worth the headaches. The Chukchi holds an estimated 15 billion barrels of oil—about as much as Alaska’s North Slope has produced since 1977. “Chukchi fields truly have the potential to be absolute world class,” says Pete Slaiby, Shell’s vice-president in charge of Alaska operations. That assumes the company can get to them. The Chukchi Sea is buried in ice for eight months every year, meaning Shell can only drill from July through October. That short window came and went this year, and the company must soon decide whether to begin planning to drill when the thaw comes next year—or to brace for yet another summer in court.

The bottom line: Shell, which spent nearly $4 billion for rights to drill in Arctic waters, has been stymied by villagers suing to stop the oil giant.

Klimasinska is a reporter for Bloomberg News.


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Tuesday, 6 September 2011

Copper market getting tighter and tighter: Commerzbank

Last Updated : 02 September 2011 at 21:05 IST

NEW YORK (Commodity Online): Copper supplies are getting tighter on higher Chinese imports and copper mine strikes around the world. Decreased availability of high quality ore is also expected to support copper prices.

"Copper is getting tighter and tighter due to supply problems. Not only strikes but also lower ore grades are cutting production, especially in Chile and Peru” said Commerzbank analyst Daniel Briesemann, Reuters reported.

-Data showed that China’s copper imports rose by 8.8% in July. And imports are expected to rise further after the inventories are tapped into and China starts restocking.

-The Copper mine strike at Escondida had caused a 14% in copper production. Possibilities of more strikes around the world especially in Chile (Collahuasi) and Indonesia remain very high.

-Peru’s government is considering increasing mining royalties. This would discourage new investments in this area.

"Recent economic data suggests that global growth could stabilize. Moreover China is starting to import more again. This should Lead to further price gains”, said a Credit Suisse note.

At the London Metal Exchange (LME), copper prices have traded in a range of around $10000 to $8500 for 2011.

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Sunday, 4 September 2011

Buffett Tells CNBC 'This Isn't 2008' As Bank of America Gets $5B Loan at Just 6%

Warren BuffettWarren Buffett tells CNBC's Becky Quick "this isn't 2008" and that's why Bank of America is getting better terms for its $5 billion loan today from Berkshire Hathaway, compared to what General Electric and Goldman Sachs paid for similar loans almost three years ago at the height of the credit crisis.

Bank of America shares [BAC  Loading...      ()   ] jumped more than 9 percent to close at $7.65 in trading on Thursday.

Buffett is also stressing the investment was his idea, perhaps to downplay any fears that Bank of America is desperate for a cash infusion.

This morning, Bank of America announced that Berkshire will use cash to buy 50,000 shares of preferred stock with a liquidation value of $100,000 per share in a private offering. 

That is, in effect, a loan to the bank, in which it will pay around $300 million in dividends each year to Berkshire.  BofA can pay back that loan at any time, but it will have to make an additional 5 percent dividend payment to do so.

The interest rate on the loan is 6 percent, well below the 10 percent that Buffett got from GE and Goldman almost three years ago, but not at all bad with 10-year Treasuries just above 2.2 percent.

Goldman paid back its $5 billion loan in April of this year, sending Berkshire roughly $1.6 billion in dividends over the 2-1/2 year life of the deal.  That's an annualized return on investment of 12.6 percent.  Warrants that came with that deal are out of the money, with Goldman trading a few dollars below the $115 strike price. Current price: [GS  Loading...      ()   ]  

Buffett had said he didn't want Goldman to buy back its preferred shares, because it cut off the stream of $500 million a year going from Goldman to Berkshire.  He's also indicated he doesn't plan to exercise the Goldman warrants until just before they expire in 2013.

General Electric has said it will pay off its $3 billion loan this October.  Berkshire will pocket a total of $1.2 billion in dividends over that deal's three years for an annual return on investment of 11.1 percent.  Like Goldman, warrants in that deal are also out of the money, with GE trading almost seven dollars below the $22.25 strike price.  Current price: [GE  Loading...      ()   ]

In today's deal, Berkshire gets warrants to buy up to $5 billion of BofA's common stock, 700 million shares at an exercise price of just over $7.14 a share.  It can make those purchases at its discretion anytime in the next 10 years.

That gives Berkshire the potential to become BofA's largest shareholder.  State Street is currently at the top of that list with 460.5 million shares, about 4.5 percent of the bank's outstanding shares.  (Berkshire sold a 5 million share stake in BofA during 2010's fourth quarter.  It had been purchased by the now-retired GEICO stock picker Lou Simpson.)

As was the case with GE and Goldman, Bank of America also gets a strong endorsement from Buffett.  He calls the investment a vote of confidence in both BofA and the United States.

In the release, Buffett says, "Bank of America is a strong, well-led company, and I called Brian to tell him I wanted to invest in it.  I am impressed with the profit-generating abilities of this franchise, and that they are acting aggressively to put their challenges behind them. Bank of America is focused on their customers and on serving them well. That's what customers want, and that's the company's strategy."

Buffett tells us he came up with the idea of an investment while taking a bath earlier this week, and he asked BofA CEO Brian Moynihan yesterday if Berkshire could do the deal.

Why now?  Buffett tells Becky that BofA's shares "have gone down a lot" and the bank is "certain to be around" for a long time.

He says Wells Fargo [WFC  Loading...      ()   ] , a large Berkshire holding, and BofA have the best deposit franchises in the country, and compares today's investment to Berkshire's past deals for GEICO and American Express [AXP  Loading...      ()   ] .

Current Berkshire stock prices:

Class B: [BRK.B  Loading...      ()   ]

Class A: [BRK.A  Loading...      ()   ]

For more Buffett Watch updates follow alexcrippen on Twitter.

Email comments todocument.write("");document.write("buffettwatch"+"@"+"cnbc.com");document.write('');

General Electric has a 49 percent stake in NBCUniversal, CNBC's parent company.

© 2011 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

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Aluminium to gain as China curtails production on power crisis

Last Updated : 02 September 2011 at 18:05 IST

BEIJING (Commodity Online): Power shortages have forced aluminum producers in the Guangxi district of China to start cutting production in September, causing a 120,000 tonnes production loss in the region.

-The action will cause a decline of 4% of China’s total production capacity and will trip the supply-demand equation from surplus to near equilibrium.

"The cut will also coincide with the start of the peak consumption season in China, thus lending support to prices then. We are also watching the situation to see if it widens to include other Aluminium producing provinces in the region. There are signs that Guizhou may be next”, said Zhang Xin, a metals analyst, Reuters reported.

"If aluminium prices rise high enough during the dry season to offset higher Electricity costs then, smelters may ramp up production before that. But we think that they are likelier to resume full production only next year" he added.

Smelters will possibly start full production only by May 2012 when the rainfall season will result in a higher hydro electricity generation and lower energy costs.

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Saturday, 3 September 2011

Mexico closing in on Peru for top silver spot

Last Updated : 02 September 2011 at 19:20 IST

MEXICO CITY (Commodity Online) : Mexico could overtake Peru as world’s largest Silver producer as Fortuna Silver Mines announced starting commercial production from its San Jose silver-gold mine in Oaxaca.

The mine is expected to produce 520,000 ounces of silver and 4,600 ounces of Gold this year and 1.7 million ounces of silver and 15,000 ounces of gold in 2012 at an estimated cash cost of $5.04 per ounce, net of byproducts. Construction capex was $55 million.

Over the weekend, Camimex, the Mexican mining industry group, sent out a news release claiming Mexico has overtaken Peru, according to its own figures.

However Peru mining ministry said based on the latest figures from the U.S. Geological Survey, Peru is the world leader in 2010.

Peru and Mexico are jockeying for bragging rights as the world's top silver producer.

The battle lines are drawn as both nations point to a significant ramp-up in production that will keep them at the top of the Silver heap. Both countries are looking for foreign investment for projects that require big upfront expenses for long-term gains.

It was only in the last 10 years that the bustling mining industry in Peru allowed it to pull ahead of Mexico as the top producer. The two countries supplied about 30% of the world's silver.

Mexico’s Fresnillo is the biggest primary silver producer in the world. Two big Fresnillo mining projects coming online this year should add as much as 155.5 tons to silver production in 2011.

According to GFMS, a leading international precious metals consultancy, as of Nov. 1, global holdings in silver-backed ETFs, or exchange-traded funds, stood at more than 490 million ounces

Anlaysts said demand for one-ounce silver coins is reaching record levels in the U.S. and Canada.

Industrial demand for silver, which is used as a conductor of heat and electricity, and as an antibacterial agent, is also boosting its price, analysrts added.

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